Moscow accused Finland and Baltic states Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania of allowing Ukrainian drones to transit their airspace to strike Russian oil terminals at Ust-Luga and Primorsk. Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu invoked Article 51 of the UN Charter on states' inherent right to self-defense, stating: "Either Western air defences were highly ineffective, or the states in question are deliberately providing their airspace, that is, acting as direct accomplices in aggression against Russia." Former FSB chief Nikolai Patrushev branded NATO members as "complicit in these crimes." Hardline MP Andrei Kolesnik characterized Shoigu's remarks as a "final" warning, cautioning Baltic states against acting with "impunity" against Russia. Western countries and Kyiv have categorically rejected the accusations.
Sweden's Defense Chief Michael Claesson warned that Russia may be scheming to capture a Baltic Sea island as a direct provocation to NATO's Article 5 collective defense pledge. Potential targets include Sweden's Gotland, Denmark's Bornholm, and Estonia's Hiiumaa and Saaremaa, raising concerns Putin might test NATO's commitment through a deliberate, restricted territorial assault in the region.
